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News National Politics Public Policy Poll: Paul Leads in Iowa/Santorum Has Highest Favs & Most Frequent 2nd Choice
News National Politics Public Policy Poll: Paul Leads in Iowa/Santorum Has Highest Favs & Most Frequent 2nd Choice
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28 December 2011
So far, it looks like the Constitution-abiding Ron Paul will be beating liberal Mitt Romney out for first place in Iowa, flip-flopping opportunist Newt Gingrich is in a continuing steep decline, early favorite Michele Bachmann leads among self-identified tea party folks, Santorum is most frequently listed as a #2 choice, has the highest favorable ratings, and the PPP analysis suggests that if there is a surprise in the caucus results, Santorum will be the potential break out candidate after languishing among the third tier candidates so far--W.T.C.
Public Policy Polling
December 27, 2011
Paul maintains his lead
The last week and a half has brought little change in the standings for the Iowa Republican caucus: Ron Paul continues to lead Mitt Romney by a modest margin, 24-20. Newt Gingrich is in 3rd at 13% followed by Michele Bachmann at 11%, Rick Perry and Rick Santorum at 10%, Jon Huntsman at 4%, and Buddy Roemer at 2%.
Paul's strength in Iowa continues to depend on a coalition of voters that's pretty unusual for a Republican in the state. Romney leads 22-20 with those who are actually Republicans, while Paul has a 39-12 advantage with the 24% who are either independents or Democrats. GOP caucus voters tend to skew old, and Romney has a 34-12 advantage with seniors. But Paul's candidacy looks like it's going to attract an unusual number of younger voters to the caucus this year, and with those under 45 he has a 35-11 advantage on Romney. The independent/young voter combo worked for Barack Obama in securing an unexpectedly large victory on the Democratic side in 2008 and it may be Paul's winning equation in 2012.
Paul continues to have much more passionate support than . . .
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